The Supreme Court could overturn a crucial piece of the Affordable Care Act this month.
If it rules against the Obama administration, the nation’s highest court could kill much-needed health insurance subsidies for people in the 34 states that don’t run their own online marketplaces.
But the real question isn’t what the court does, it’s what happens afterward in the White House, Capitol Hill and the statehouses.
The federal government currently provides $1.7 billion every month in tax subsidies to 6.4 million people in the 34 states that rely on the federal HealthCare.gov marketplace instead of running their own healthcare markets.
The court is considering whether a section of the law was incorrectly worded, which would make those subsidies unavailable to states without their own marketplaces, unless Congress or the states find a workaround.
So what would happen next? Here are three scenarios.
1. The Do-NothingOption
Neither the Obama…
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